Broadcom Stock Price Forecast - AVGO Shares Hits $334.53 as AI Surge and VMware Power 45% YTD Rally

Broadcom Stock Price Forecast - AVGO Shares Hits $334.53 as AI Surge and VMware Power 45% YTD Rally

With $59.9B in trailing revenue, $23.1B free cash flow, and analysts targeting $369–$420, Broadcom cements its $1.58T valuation as AI networking chips and VMware Cloud adoption fuel historic growth | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 9/26/2025 9:12:53 PM
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NASDAQ:AVGO Extends Rally With Shares at $334.53 as AI and VMware Drive Momentum

Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) has surged 45.3% in 2025, closing the latest session at $334.53 and pushing its market capitalization to $1.58 trillion. The stock has nearly doubled year-over-year, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 15.6% gain, cementing its position as one of the most powerful large-cap performers in the AI chip cycle. The move is underpinned by relentless demand in AI infrastructure semiconductors and the transformative integration of VMware into Broadcom’s software segment. Still, with the stock trading at 86.2x trailing earnings and 36.5x forward P/E, valuation questions are intensifying as the 52-week range now stretches from $138.10 to $374.23.

Earnings Growth Propels Broadcom’s AI Storyline

In its latest quarter, Broadcom reported $15.95 billion in revenue alongside $8.4 billion in earnings, with quarterly revenue expanding 16.4% year-over-year. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $59.93 billion and net income $18.81 billion, producing a 31.6% profit margin. Analysts expect 2025 EPS of $6.74, up from $4.87 last year, and 2026 EPS at $9.23, implying nearly 37% growth. Revenue is forecast to climb from $63.3 billion in 2025 to $84.1 billion in 2026, representing more than $20 billion in incremental annual sales within two years. This pace of expansion reflects Broadcom’s ability to capture both hardware and software revenue streams tied to the AI buildout.

AI Semiconductors and Hyperscaler Partnerships Accelerate Demand

Broadcom’s semiconductor segment is central to its rally. The company is leveraging Jericho4 Ethernet switches to dominate AI data center interconnects while expanding its role in custom XPUs (accelerators) designed for hyperscalers such as Google. Management recently disclosed that a fourth hyperscaler client has entered production, widely speculated to be OpenAI, creating visibility for robust 2026–2027 demand. These AI-centric semiconductors are expected to scale faster than traditional chip markets, positioning Broadcom as a key enabler of hyperscale AI workloads. The stock has already rallied 90% in twelve months, but with hyperscaler spending projected to exceed $2 trillion by 2030, the company’s chip pipeline suggests its AI-driven revenues will remain on a steep upward curve.

VMware Integration Expands High-Margin Software Revenue

Broadcom’s $69 billion VMware acquisition continues to redefine its Infrastructure Software division, which now accounts for 43% of total revenue. In Q3 2025, VMware delivered $6.8 billion in sales, up 17% year-over-year, lifting overall gross margins to 93% and segment operating margins to 77%. VMware Cloud Foundation 9.0 has seen strong adoption from enterprises looking to build private cloud environments with AI-ready architecture. However, the legacy governance overhang remains: VMware settled a securities case in March 2025 with a $102.5 million payout tied to backlog disclosures. While the case was resolved without admission of wrongdoing, it underscores the regulatory scrutiny that could weigh on future expansion.

Cash Flow Resilience Versus Heavy Leverage

Broadcom ended the latest quarter with $11.1 billion in cash against a heavy debt load of $40.5 billion, leaving its debt-to-equity ratio at 166%. Despite this leverage, the company continues to generate substantial liquidity, posting $23.1 billion in levered free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. Operating cash flow reached $25.4 billion, enabling Broadcom to sustain dividends and deleverage gradually. The company paid a quarterly dividend of $2.36 per share (0.70% yield) on September 30, 2025, with a payout ratio near 59%. Since the 10-for-1 stock split in July 2024, AVGO has become more attractive to retail investors while keeping its dividend growth intact.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets Highlight Room for Upside

Wall Street remains broadly constructive on AVGO despite valuation risks. Out of 39 analysts, the majority rate it Buy or Strong Buy, with an average price target of $369.88, about 11% higher than current levels. Price targets extend up to $420, while the low-end estimate sits at $218. Major investment houses including J.P. Morgan, Rosenblatt, and BofA Securities reiterate positive ratings, citing Broadcom’s leadership in AI networking chips and VMware’s software monetization. Investors tracking the stock’s real-time performance can monitor it here.

Institutional Control and Insider Activity

Institutions own nearly 80% of outstanding shares, while insiders hold just above 2%. Short interest remains modest at 1.19% of float, suggesting minimal bearish conviction at current valuations. Insider sales have been limited, and details on management and director trades can be reviewed via insider transaction records. Institutional dominance of the float underscores the belief among large funds that Broadcom’s AI exposure justifies a premium despite the high multiples.

Valuation Premium or Bubble Risk for AVGO?

Broadcom trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 27.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 51.0x, far above historical norms for semiconductor peers. Bulls highlight that Broadcom’s PEG ratio of 0.55 indicates growth-adjusted valuations remain compelling, while bears argue that such stretched multiples leave the stock vulnerable to any slowdown in AI capital expenditures. The debate centers on whether hyperscaler spending sustains its current trajectory: if it does, AVGO could continue compounding revenue above 20% annually; if not, valuation multiples risk compression that could sharply cut into shareholder returns.

Investment View on NASDAQ:AVGO

Broadcom’s performance is being driven by two distinct engines: the AI semiconductor business, where it dominates in networking chips and custom accelerators, and the software arm powered by VMware’s high-margin subscriptions. At $334.53 per share, AVGO trades at a premium multiple, but with earnings expected to grow nearly 40% in 2026 and revenue surging past $84 billion, that premium still finds support. The legal overhang from VMware and elevated debt load introduce risks, but Broadcom’s execution in integrating acquisitions and scaling AI infrastructure partnerships remains unmatched. Based on the current fundamentals, analysts’ revisions, and market positioning, Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) is a Buy, with 12-month upside potential into the $369–$400 range if AI spending and VMware adoption continue at current pace.

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