Ethereum Price Forecast - ETH-USD at $2,9K Fights to Reclaim $3K as Whales Rotate and Leverage Climbs

Ethereum Price Forecast - ETH-USD at $2,9K Fights to Reclaim $3K as Whales Rotate and Leverage Climbs

BlackRock’s 36,579 ETH Coinbase deposit, Binance staking shifts, Arthur Hayes’ $3M DeFi rotation and ETF outflows put ETH-USD in a tight $2,790–$3,150 decision zone | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 12/21/2025 5:15:24 PM
Crypto ETH/USD ETH USD

Ethereum (ETH-USD) Price Overview

Ethereum (ETH-USD) is trading around $2,975–$2,980, capping a choppy week where price stayed locked between roughly $2,790 support and the $3,000–$3,100 resistance band. Market cap is about $359 billion. The structure is consolidation inside a mild downtrend channel, not a blow-off move and not a capitulation low. Momentum indicators sit in neutral territory, with ETH below key short-term moving averages and repeatedly failing to reclaim the $3,100–$3,150 resistance zone.

Macro And Bitcoin Context Behind The Current ETH-USD Range

The latest pullback in ETH-USD is tightly tied to the broader crypto risk cycle. Bitcoin’s slide back below $85,000 triggered systematic de-risking across large caps. Solana dropped from around $140 to near $120 in a week, roughly a 10% drawdown, showing how quickly liquidity steps back when BTC loses a key handle. For Ethereum, traders are treating the $2,952–$2,980 band as the immediate pivot: holding above that zone keeps $3,350 and then $3,600 on the table, while a clean break below $2,790 opens air toward the mid-$2,600s. This price action is occurring against a macro backdrop of shifting global rates, including the Bank of Japan’s 25 bps hike that initially helped trigger an ETH rebound before sellers faded the move.

Whale And Institutional Flows: How Big Money Is Using ETH-USD

Large holders are using the current rebound to reposition rather than chase upside. A BlackRock-linked wallet moved 36,579 ETH, around $108–$109 million, into Coinbase over 24 hours. That size is institution-level optimisation, not retail noise. Sending tens of thousands of ETH to a centralized exchange after a bounce typically signals partial profit-taking, hedging, or rotation into other structures instead of fresh spot accumulation. In parallel, an address tied to Arthur Hayes shifted 680 ETH, about $2.03 million, to Binance, again behaviour consistent with active risk management and rotation rather than bottom-fishing.

Binance Staking Wallet Activity And What It Really Means For ETH-USD

On-chain data also shows multiple large transfers between Binance ETH2 staking wallets, including two separate 80,000 ETH moves within days plus older 20,000 and 70,000 ETH transfers. These are internal flows between Binance-labelled staking addresses, not necessarily net new staking inflows from external investors. Operational shuffling inside a staking cluster confirms a large staked base for ETH-USD, but by itself it does not prove a new wave of incremental demand. For price, the signal is neutral: it supports the long-term locked supply story but does not change short-term order flow.

Arthur Hayes’ Rotation: Ethereum As Funding Layer For DeFi Risk

Arthur Hayes is using ETH-USD as funding collateral for higher-beta DeFi exposure. On-chain tracking shows over 1,100 ETH moved and redeployed into tokens such as Ethena (ENA), Pendle (PENDLE) and ether.fi (ETHFI). One transaction alone added roughly 1.22 million ENA, pushing his total ENA holdings above 6 million tokens. The logic is straightforward: while ETH grinds below resistance, capital rotates into protocols that monetise yield, restaking and liquidity more aggressively. This is not a structural rejection of ETH-USD; it is a tactical shift where Ethereum remains the base layer asset funding DeFi risk.

Derivatives Structure, Open Interest And Leverage On ETH-USD

The derivatives market shows why the $3,000 zone matters so much for ETH-USD. Open interest in ETH futures and perpetuals has climbed to around $38.5 billion, while spot volume has dropped about 50% in the last 24 hours to roughly $18.5 billion. That divergence means the current stability near $2,975 is held more by leveraged positions than by clean spot demand. Heatmaps of liquidation levels show dense clusters of short liquidations just above spot in the low $3,000s, with the brightest bands loaded between approximately $3,050 and $3,150. If ETH trades into that zone, forced covering from over-leveraged shorts can accelerate an upside wick; if it fails to reach that pocket, those same shorts continue to lean on resistance.

Key Technical Levels For ETH-USD Traders And Investors

From a pure price-structure standpoint, ETH-USD is boxed into a well-defined range. Immediate support sits around $2,900, with stronger demand in the $2,760–$2,800 region. A daily close below $2,790 would confirm renewed downside momentum and reopen a path toward the mid-$2,600s, especially with ADX already above 30, signalling a strong directional trend in play. On the upside, $3,000 is the first hurdle; sustained closes above that level are needed to challenge the $3,350 resistance band that has capped recent rallies. Only a clean break and hold above $3,350 would flip the medium-term tone back toward a potential run at $3,600 and beyond.

Sentiment, ETFs And Exchange Supply Around ETH-USD

Sentiment around ETH-USD is cautious rather than capitulated. Spot ETH ETFs have seen several consecutive days of outflows, roughly in the mid–eight-figure to low–nine-figure dollar range, reflecting year-end positioning and macro caution rather than a structural abandonment. At the same time, exchange balances of ETH have drifted toward multi-year lows, which mechanically reduces immediately sellable supply even as near-term demand weakens. That combination—ETF outflows, whale rotation, and shrinking exchange inventories—creates a market where price is highly sensitive to marginal flows but still anchored by a tight, well-identified range.

Current Read On ETH-USD: Positioning Dominates, Direction Awaits A Break

Right now ETH-USD is being driven more by positioning than by a strong directional narrative. Whales and institutions are using the $2,900–$3,000 band to rotate, hedge and fund higher-beta trades rather than to make all-in directional bets on Ethereum itself. Derivatives open interest is climbing even as spot conviction fades, and liquidation heatmaps show pressure building just above current price instead of far below it. As long as ETH holds above $2,790 and keeps testing the $3,000–$3,150 ceiling, the market remains in a coiled state where a break of the range—not today’s small candles—will decide whether the next major move in ETH-USD is a squeeze higher or a reset lower.

That's TradingNEWS