Solana Price Forecast - SOL-USD Extends 25% Rally as ETF Bets and Treasury Buys Fuel Bullish Run

Solana Price Forecast - SOL-USD Extends 25% Rally as ETF Bets and Treasury Buys Fuel Bullish Run

With SOL holding $222, institutional inflows, ETF approvals, and billion-dollar liquidity point to $250 resistance, while profit-taking risks hover near $207 support | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 9/10/2025 7:22:03 PM
Crypto SOL/USD SOL USD

Solana (SOL-USD) Surges Past $220 as ETF Hopes and Treasury Accumulation Drive Bullish Momentum

Institutional Accumulation and Treasury Moves Push Solana Higher

Solana (SOL-USD) has pushed above $222 this week, marking its highest level since February and extending a 25% monthly rally. The surge is being fueled by aggressive institutional positioning. Forward Industries recently announced a $1.65 billion private investment in public equity (PIPE), with proceeds earmarked for a Solana treasury. If 25% of this capital is deployed, it would equate to over $400 million in direct SOL accumulation — the largest publicly disclosed corporate treasury built on Solana. This mirrors the Bitcoin playbook from 2020, when firms like MicroStrategy triggered parabolic rallies through balance sheet allocations. Digital asset treasuries such as Upexi and DeFi Development Corp. have already accumulated more than $400 million apiece this year, further cementing Solana’s role as a corporate-grade blockchain asset.

ETF Catalysts and Regulatory Tailwinds Strengthen Outlook

ETF speculation is a second key driver. Multiple issuers, including Bitwise, Canary Funds, and 21Shares, await SEC approval for spot Solana ETFs. Analysts see these filings as “near locks” for late 2025, especially with regulators already under pressure following Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approvals. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan has highlighted that flows into Solana ETFs, even at modest scale, would be outsized relative to its $115 billion market cap. To illustrate, Forward’s $1.65 billion planned allocation would equal $33 billion of Bitcoin inflows in relative terms. The combination of ETF demand and treasury inflows creates a structural supply squeeze, a factor that has historically driven rapid price repricing in crypto markets.

Liquidity Surpasses $1 Billion as Technicals Eye $250 Breakout

On-chain liquidity has surged past $1 billion, signaling robust market depth and greater participation by institutions and whales. Solana is consolidating in a range between $200 and $220, with near-term resistance at $232 and $236. A confirmed breakout above $236 would open the door to $250, with secondary targets stretching toward $280. Traders are watching the $207 support closely; a break below this level risks a slide to $197 or even $189, but momentum remains tilted to the upside. The RSI at 58 suggests room to extend higher before hitting overbought territory. Analysts are now floating medium-term targets of $330 to $400, contingent on ETF approvals and sustained inflows.

 

Profit-Taking Risks Surface as Unrealized Gains Climb

While momentum is strong, caution signals are emerging. Glassnode data shows Solana’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) hit 0.321 on September 9, its second-highest level in a month. The last time this occurred, SOL corrected 8% within days. Exchange outflows also weakened sharply, dropping 84% between September 6 and September 9, despite price climbing from $200 to $217. This divergence — waning inflows as price rises — suggests early profit-taking may already be underway. Bearish RSI divergence reinforces the possibility of a short-term pullback if SOL fails to hold above $207.

Competition From New Narratives: Layer Brett and Remittix

Despite Solana’s dominance, capital rotation is a theme. Investors in BONK and WIF, two Solana-based meme tokens, are increasingly reallocating into Ethereum Layer 2 projects like Layer Brett ($LBRETT). With $2 million raised at $0.0053 per token and staking yields in the thousands of percent, Layer Brett’s meme-infrastructure hybrid is siphoning speculative money. Similarly, Remittix (RTX), a PayFi token targeting the $19 trillion remittance market, has raised $24.7 million and secured BitMart and LBANK listings. Priced at $0.1050 with 653 million tokens sold, RTX appeals to investors seeking high-velocity growth narratives. While these tokens are no threat to Solana’s institutional positioning, they represent real competition for retail capital chasing outsized returns.

Long-Term Outlook: Scaling Challenges Versus Institutional Tailwinds

Solana’s challenge lies in balancing institutional adoption with technical execution. Past network congestion episodes have raised concerns, though upgrades in 2025 have stabilized throughput. With 30-day volume exceeding Ethereum’s on multiple occasions and DeFi total value locked (TVL) nearing $13 billion, Solana’s fundamentals are gaining legitimacy. If ETF approvals materialize and treasury allocations sustain, SOL’s climb toward $330–$400 is realistic over the next 6–12 months. However, the risk of short-term corrections around $207 remains elevated as speculative traders take profits.

Verdict: Buy on Dips
At $222, Solana is up 25% in 30 days and sits 24% below its all-time high of $293.31. While near-term risks of profit-taking are real, the structural catalysts of ETF inflows, billion-dollar treasury allocations, and rising liquidity argue for further upside. Accumulation below $210 offers a favorable risk-reward for long-term holders targeting $330–$400, making Solana (SOL-USD) a Buy on dips with a bullish bias.

That's TradingNEWS