XRP Price Forecast - XRP-USD Holds $2.99 After 14% Weekly Rally as ETF Speculation, $1B Whale Accumulation, and Bullish Patterns Push Target Toward $4–$6

XRP Price Forecast - XRP-USD Holds $2.99 After 14% Weekly Rally as ETF Speculation, $1B Whale Accumulation, and Bullish Patterns Push Target Toward $4–$6

Ripple’s XRP defends $3.00 support after a 14% weekly jump, driven by $1 billion in whale inflows, bullish wedge momentum, and ETF optimism. Analysts now project a climb to $4–$6 if SEC approvals align with technical strength, while $2.90 remains the line in the sand before a 15% correction toward $2.60 | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 10/4/2025 6:39:34 PM
Crypto XRP/USD XRP USD

XRP Price Forecast - XRP-USD Maintains $3.00 Amid Aggressive Market Momentum

Ripple’s native token XRP (XRP-USD) has reasserted its dominance with a 14% weekly gain, rising from $2.70 to $3.01 before briefly touching $3.10 resistance. The move marks XRP’s biggest weekly candle in 2025 and positions the asset just 15% below its all-time high of $3.66 reached in July. Trading volume surged 38% over the week, with sentiment indicators showing renewed speculative appetite as Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and Ethereum (ETH-USD) also advanced 12% and 16% respectively. Despite a 3.21% intraday decline on October 4, the broader trend remains intact, as buyers defend the critical $2.95–$3.00 zone.

ETF Approval Buzz Fuels Institutional Interest in Ripple

Investor attention is now shifting toward the pending XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) decisions, expected before mid-October. Applications from Grayscale, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton have amplified institutional optimism, with estimates suggesting $5–$8 billion in potential inflows if even one product is approved. Market analyst Crypto King noted that fund managers overseeing over $1.5 trillion in assets have shown preliminary engagement, implying significant upside if regulatory clarity aligns with demand. This wave of optimism mirrors Bitcoin’s 2024 ETF-driven rally, which added $400 billion to BTC’s market cap within three months of approval.

Technical Structure: Falling Wedge Signals Breakout Potential

Technically, XRP-USD has been consolidating inside a falling wedge pattern since August, a setup that often precedes a bullish breakout. The key resistance at $3.10—which capped gains throughout Q3—is now being tested again. A sustained close above this level could open the path to $3.60–$4.00, representing a 33% gain from current prices. Analyst Lark Davis identified $4.00 as the next strategic target, while Ali Martinez remains conservative at $3.60, warning that failed momentum may trigger a retest of $2.80. On-chain data from CoinGlass shows $500 million in leveraged long liquidations stacked between $2.89 and $2.73, suggesting a possible short-term trap before a fresh leg upward.

Whale Accumulation Strengthens Support Levels

Blockchain analytics reveal that XRP whales have added 340 million tokens—worth nearly $1 billion—over the past two weeks. This accumulation trend, concentrated around $2.85–$2.95, reinforces structural demand beneath current support. Historically, similar accumulation waves preceded major breakouts, including the 2021 rally that lifted XRP from $0.60 to $1.90. Combined with rising open interest across derivatives markets and positive funding rates, the data paints a resilient picture of institutional confidence despite short-term volatility.

Ripple’s Strategic Position: Utility Meets Regulation

Beyond short-term trading dynamics, Ripple Labs continues to expand its cross-border payment infrastructure, recently announcing new pilot programs in Asia and Latin America. This growth underpins the longer-term bullish narrative: if XRP Ledger (XRPL) adoption accelerates, transactional demand could offset supply pressures. Still, the token’s circulating supply above 55 billion XRP remains a structural constraint. The ongoing SEC dialogue surrounding ETF classification and remittance utility remains pivotal. Ripple’s legal clarity—especially post-2024 rulings—has positioned XRP as the only major altcoin with a semi-regulated framework in the U.S., a crucial advantage heading into 2026.

Emerging Competitors: Layer Brett (LBRETT) and Remittix (RTX)

While XRP consolidates above $3, newer tokens are emerging as potential disruptors. Layer Brett (LBRETT), an Ethereum Layer-2 project combining meme culture and utility, has raised over $4.2 million in presale, boasting 600% APY staking and cross-chain interoperability. Similarly, Remittix (RTX)—dubbed “the new Ripple”—has raised $27 million to fund a global payments bridge with near-instant fiat settlements. Although speculative, these projects highlight shifting investor appetites toward higher-multiple assets, especially as XRP matures into a large-cap safe-haven play. Analysts argue that while XRP offers stability and liquidity, newcomers like RTX may capture outsized growth due to their early-phase tokenomics and retail incentives.

Short-Term Risk: Liquidity Pockets and $2.60 Downside Threat

Despite the bullish structure, XRP’s current position carries downside risk. CoinGlass data highlights over $500 million in long liquidations beneath the $2.90 threshold. If price closes decisively below $2.93, a liquidity cascade could send XRP down 15% to $2.60, aligning with the 200-day exponential moving average. The RSI, currently at 52, leaves room for additional downside before oversold conditions trigger a rebound. Maintaining price action above $2.95–$3.00 remains crucial for bulls to sustain momentum toward $3.20–$3.40 and invalidate bearish fractals.

Market Sentiment and Macro Backdrop

The XRP rally coincides with heightened geopolitical uncertainty and the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has driven investors toward both digital and traditional safe havens. Gold’s rise to $3,900/oz and Bitcoin’s push toward $120,000 underscore this macro narrative. XRP’s classification as a “quasi-safe-haven altcoin,” due to its established network and lower volatility relative to smaller tokens, has drawn renewed capital flows from institutional desks seeking diversification.

Verdict: Cautiously Bullish (Buy Bias Above $3.05)

Given the alignment of whale accumulation, ETF optimism, and resilient macro demand for alternative stores of value, XRP’s medium-term bias remains bullish. A breakout above $3.10 could trigger acceleration toward $3.60–$4.00, with extended potential to $5.80–$6.00 by early 2026 under sustained momentum. However, failure to defend $2.90 would likely confirm a near-term pullback to $2.60 before buyers reenter. For now, XRP (XRP-USD) holds a Buy rating above $3.00, supported by both structural and sentiment-driven factors as the market awaits decisive ETF approval.

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