Pre-Market Trading Stock Market Today, Nasdaq 22,844, S&P 500 6,715, Dow 46,885 on AI Momentum and Tesla Shock

Pre-Market Trading Stock Market Today, Nasdaq 22,844, S&P 500 6,715, Dow 46,885 on AI Momentum and Tesla Shock

NVIDIA surges to $188.89 on OpenAI’s $500B valuation while Tesla delivers 497K vehicles but slides to $436; oil sinks to $61 WTI, gold rallies to $3,876, Bitcoin powers past $120,000 | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 10/3/2025 6:16:42 AM
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Pre-Market Snapshot: Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Futures Edge Higher After Historic Rally

U.S. equity futures are holding steady in Friday’s early trade following a record-setting week that pushed all three major indices to fresh all-time highs. S&P 500 futures (ES=F) are trading at 6,715, up +0.21%. Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) are adding +0.25% at 22,844, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) are up +0.17% at 46,885. These moves come after Thursday’s regular session where the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) advanced 0.39% to close at 22,844, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) inched up 0.06% to finish at 6,715, and the Dow (^DJI) climbed 78 points (+0.17%) to settle at 46,519.

Momentum is still powered by artificial intelligence names, led by NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD (AMD), and Broadcom (AVGO), as investors absorbed the news that OpenAI (OPAI.PVT) has become the most valuable startup in the world at a $500 billion valuation.

AI Frenzy Continues: OpenAI at $500 Billion, NVIDIA and Chipmakers Rally

The artificial intelligence trade remains the primary driver of equity enthusiasm. NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $188.89 (+0.88%) and touched intraday highs above $190 as investors piled in on optimism that AI chip demand will expand further. AMD (AMD) surged over 3% to $132.44, while Broadcom (AVGO) ended at $1,482.67, up 2%.

The spark came from OpenAI’s (OPAI.PVT) secondary sale, which allowed employees to offload $6.6 billion in shares, lifting its valuation to $500 billion. This places OpenAI ahead of SpaceX (SPAX.PVT) and cements its dominance as the most valuable privately held company. The announcement coincided with OpenAI unveiling its new video AI model “Sora” and striking memory chip supply deals with Samsung (005930.KS) and SK Hynix (000660.KS).

For perspective, OpenAI’s valuation jump from $300 billion earlier this year marks one of the fastest leaps in startup history. The AI-driven boom is fueling hyperscaler stocks worldwide and lifting sector multiples across the board.

Shutdown Fallout: Data Blackout and Labor Market Concerns

The government shutdown, now in its third day, has cut off Wall Street from critical macro data. Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report was shelved after the Labor Department suspended operations, leaving the Federal Reserve without one of its most important indicators ahead of its October policy meeting.

Private sector data, however, shows weakness. Challenger reported that U.S. hiring plans are at their lowest level since 2009, while layoffs dropped 37% month-on-month to 54,064. ADP payrolls earlier in the week also revealed slowing job additions.

The Congressional Budget Office estimates 750,000–900,000 federal workers could be furloughed daily, while President Trump has signaled plans to use the shutdown as leverage to cut agencies he labels “Democrat programs.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned the shutdown could “hit GDP, hit growth, and hit working America.”

Despite these risks, Wall Street remains unfazed. The S&P 500 is up +1.1% this week, the Dow has gained +0.6%, and the Nasdaq has outperformed with +1.6%.

Tesla Hits Delivery Record But Shares Reverse

Tesla (TSLA) reported Q3 deliveries of 497,099 vehicles, well ahead of estimates of ~439,800 and topping last year’s 462,890. Production reached 447,450 units, while the company deployed a record 12.5 GWh of energy storage products.

Despite the blowout quarter, TSLA shares closed at $436 (-5.11%), sliding after an initial pop. Investors are cautious about post-credit demand after the U.S. phased out the $7,500 EV tax subsidy on October 1. The European market also presents risks, where competition and political backlash against Elon Musk could dampen demand. Tesla stock is still up 14% year-to-date, but the expiration of incentives could cap upside in Q4.

Stellantis Delivers Strong U.S. Sales Momentum

Stellantis (STLA) posted U.S. sales growth of +6% in Q3 versus last year, with September sales soaring +16%. Shares rallied to $22.41 (+5.9%) in pre-market trade. Jeep, Ram, Chrysler, and FIAT all contributed, with the company noting it achieved its highest U.S. monthly market share in 15 months.

Earlier this year, tariffs weighed on Stellantis’ earnings, but Q3 results show resilience. The question is whether this momentum can withstand ongoing trade policy risks.

Alibaba’s $250 Billion Bounce Ignites Chinese Tech Hopes

Alibaba (BABA) continues to draw hedge fund and retail investor flows. Shares gained +3.59% to $189.34, extending a rally that has doubled the stock this year and restored $250 billion in market cap. The rally is tied to Beijing’s focus on self-reliance in technology and AI, making Alibaba a proxy for China’s broader innovation push.

Even after the rebound, Alibaba remains 65% below its 2020 peak. Short interest spiked in September, but with the stock still trading at 22x forward earnings, below Amazon (AMZN) at 25x and Microsoft (MSFT) at 32x, there is room for further re-rating if sentiment turns.

Oil Prices Head for Steep Weekly Loss

Energy markets are under pressure. Brent crude (BZ=F) is trading at $64.63, down 8% for the week, while WTI (CL=F) sits at $61, on track for its largest weekly drop since June. OPEC+ meets Sunday and could approve a supply boost of up to 500,000 barrels per day for November, tripling October’s hike.

The International Energy Agency projects oversupply swelling to record levels next year, with early signs of a glut already in the Middle East. Some Wall Street banks warn Brent could slide into the $50s.

Gold and Bitcoin Push Higher Amid Haven Demand

While oil is tumbling, havens are breaking records. Gold (GC=F) trades at $3,876/oz, up +0.21% overnight and +48% year-to-date. Analysts at State Street assign a 75% probability of a breakout above $4,000 in Q4, a level that could come sooner given the shutdown and weaker dollar backdrop.

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has surged above $120,000, up 29% in 2025. The crypto asset gained another +1.22% Thursday to $119,996, buoyed by seasonal tailwinds as October—historically Bitcoin’s strongest month—gets underway.

Corporate Movers: FICO, OXY, and Rare Earths

Fair Isaac (FICO) soared +17.98% to $1,784.68 after announcing it will bypass resellers and sell credit scores directly to mortgage lenders. The move slashed shares of Equifax (EFX) (-8.47%) and TransUnion (TRU) (-12%).
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) slid -7.31% to $44.23 as Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) agreed to acquire its OxyChem unit for $9.7 billion.
USA Rare Earth jumped +8% after confirming “close communication” with the Trump administration over federal support for supply chain expansion.

Macro Rates: Treasury Yields and Mortgages

Bond markets are stable with the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) holding at 4.10%. Mortgage rates have edged higher: the 30-year fixed stands at 6.34%, up from 6.3% a week earlier, while the 15-year sits at 5.55%. Markets are pricing in a Fed rate cut at the October meeting, with weaker labor data reinforcing expectations.

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