XRP-USD Eyes Breakout as Legal Clarity, ETF Inflows, and Whale Accumulation Align
XRP price builds momentum above $2.20 with key support at $2.18 and bullish targets near $3.84 amid regulatory and technical catalysts | That's TradingNEWS
Ripple (XRP-USD) builds bullish setup as legal clarity, ETF buzz, and technical coil converge
The XRP-USD token is entering July 2025 with one of the most explosive setups in the digital asset market, bolstered by the final resolution of the SEC vs Ripple lawsuit, record ETF inflows, and layered technical formations hinting at a major move. As of July 1, XRP trades at $2.20, about 35% above its year-to-date low, with recent weekly gains of +2.73% backed by a 136% surge in trading volume. Price action now clutches the upper Bollinger Band at $2.26, and RSI sits at a neutral 52.25, leaving ample headroom for bullish extension.
SEC resolution clears regulatory fog, boosts XRP adoption odds
Ripple’s decision to accept a $50 million settlement with the SEC finally ends a multiyear battle that weighed on U.S. institutional participation. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse hailed the deal as a “fresh chapter,” eliminating restrictions on institutional sales of XRP. Legal clarity is now a key tailwind — especially as a closed-door SEC meeting on July 3 is expected to ratify the case’s final closure. This outcome not only removes overhangs for Ripple but also opens doors to resumed bank and enterprise integration.
ETF momentum accelerates as Wall Street leans into XRP
XRP is rapidly positioning for a spot ETF breakthrough. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas and James Sayffart now assign a 95% chance of approval for XRP ETFs by year-end, joining the ranks of BlackRock, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton. Meanwhile, the XXRP 2x leveraged ETF has drawn $158 million AUM since April, with $33 million inflow in just the last week of June, signaling Wall Street readiness for full exposure. Despite XRP’s price stagnation, this demand spike suggests investors are front-running a potential spot product.
XRP Ledger EVM launch unlocks DeFi expansion, multi-chain appeal
Ripple’s technical progress is also undeniable. The live launch of the XRPL EVM-compatible sidechain introduces Ethereum-based dApp and smart contract support directly onto the XRP ledger. CTO David Schwartz emphasized that this upgrade “extends capabilities without sacrificing XRPL efficiency.” The EVM rollout enables cross-chain liquidity, real-world asset tokenization, and smart DeFi protocols—all of which expand XRP’s real-world utility.
Triangle formations and technical coil prep XRP for breakout
From a technical perspective, XRP is coiled within a symmetrical triangle, anchored by firm support at $2.00–$2.06 and capped by resistance at $2.35–$2.65. Analysts like CasiTrades and DonAlt have flagged this zone as a base-building period. If $2.25 is held as new support, XRP could target $2.69, $3.04, and eventually $3.84 — the former all-time high.
Despite near-term uncertainty, price compression is visible in declining Average True Range (ATR) and tightening Bollinger Band width — often precursors to strong directional moves. Chartist Gordon views the structure as a falling wedge with upside risk toward $3.35, while others warn that the descending triangle has a 54% historical bearish resolution rate, per Bulkowski. However, the bullish coil outweighs downside risks for now.
Whales accumulate XRP as exchange outflows surge
On-chain data confirms accumulation. Over $1.7 million XRP was pulled from Binance in the last 24 hours of June, while whale transactions over $100K jumped sharply from June 20–23. Exchange inflows are down, suggesting that whales are moving assets into cold wallets or DeFi positions. Combined with EVM upgrade timing and ETF anticipation, this points to institutional readiness—not sell-side pressure.
Volatility compression, ETF inflows, and legal clarity set stage for bullish move
Multiple catalysts are aligning: Legal clearance, EVM utility, ETF inflows, and positive on-chain accumulation. Support at $2.18 must hold; if it does, XRP is poised for $2.34, $2.65, and possibly $3.80 in July. Risks remain—a break below $2.06 could trigger a drop toward $1.90–$1.80, but the broader trend remains constructive.
Verdict: XRP-USD is a buy on breakout above $2.35 targeting $3.84 with risk to $1.90
With support holding and bullish structures in place, XRP-USD is a Buy, conditional on a confirmed breakout above $2.35. Short-term target stands at $2.69, with medium-term outlook aiming at $3.84. Downside invalidation lies at $1.90. Risk/reward now favors bulls amid structural, legal, and technical alignment.
