XRPI and XRPR ETFs Gain as XRP-USD Holds $2.40 and $13.3B Inflows Forecast Ahead of Ripple XRP ETF Approval

XRP-USD Surge Anticipation as ETF Approval Delay Fuels Institutional Positioning

The momentum behind Ripple’s XRP (XRP-USD) has intensified as investors await the long-delayed decision on multiple XRP ETF filings. Despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown halting SEC operations, expectations remain elevated that approvals will follow once activity resumes. Several major issuers, including Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton, have filings under review. The regulatory silence hasn’t cooled sentiment—XRP continues to trade around $2.40, holding a market capitalization of roughly $143 billion, while trading volume and whale accumulation signal growing anticipation for institutional inflows.

Projected XRP ETF Inflows and Market Cap Expansion Scenarios

Forecasts from Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg suggest that approved XRP ETFs could attract between $5 billion and $10 billion in inflows during the first month of trading, rivaling early Bitcoin ETF launches. Analysts estimate that if XRP captures just 50% of Bitcoin ETF inflows recorded this year—about $13.3 billion—the implications for market capitalization would be staggering. Historical data shows a clear multiplier effect: $61 million of XRP inflows in May 2025 translated into a $16.6 billion rise in market cap, a 272x inflow-to-valuation ratio. Even applying a modest 90x multiplier, $13.3 billion in ETF inflows could expand XRP’s valuation by roughly $1.2 trillion, pushing its total market cap near $1.35 trillion. With a circulating supply of 60 billion tokens, that scenario implies a price near $22.48, representing an 844% gain from current levels.

Institutional Entry Led by T. Rowe Price and the First Actively Managed XRP ETF

Adding momentum to the narrative, T. Rowe Price, managing $1.8 trillion in assets, filed for the first actively managed XRP ETF under the T. Rowe Price Active Crypto ETF name. The fund will hold between 5 and 15 cryptocurrencies, including XRP, Bitcoin (BTC-USD), Ethereum (ETH-USD), Solana (SOL-USD), and Cardano (ADA-USD). It will trade on NYSE Arca, dynamically adjusting holdings to outperform the FTSE Crypto US Listed Index. This move marks a profound shift for a legacy manager historically focused on mutual funds, signaling how traditional finance now views XRP as a core asset within diversified crypto exposure.

Comparative ETF Landscape and Regulatory Momentum

Across the broader ETF sector, the SEC has over 155 crypto ETF applications pending, tracking 35 digital assets. The approval wave that followed Bitcoin ETFs—now managing $146 billion in assets, or 6.8% of Bitcoin’s market cap—suggests a similar acceleration is inevitable once the government reopens. For context, Ethereum ETFs currently oversee $25.8 billion, representing 5.6% of ETH’s capitalization. Should XRP ETFs replicate even a fraction of those proportions, inflows of $10–13 billion could position XRP as the third-largest ETF-driven digital asset by managed capital, behind Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Technical Structure and Market Behavior of XRP-USD

XRP maintains a strong technical base at $2.28, with clear resistance forming near $2.60 and long-term support around $2.10—its rising 200-day moving average. Analysts like CasiTrades point to a potential breakout toward $4.50 once ETF approvals clear, citing post-consolidation phases historically observed in late-year cycles. Trading volume across exchanges exceeds $3.2 billion daily, while open interest in XRP futures rose 24% in October, indicating capital inflows from funds preparing for hedging against eventual ETF exposure

On-Chain Positioning and Liquidity Preparation for ETF Integration

Blockchain data confirms that 126.79 million XRP have been locked for institutional purposes, likely reserved for ETF settlement mechanisms and liquidity provisioning. Ripple’s operational model already facilitates bank-grade cross-border settlements, and the shift toward ETF-based trading could streamline institutional access to XRP without direct custody. This dual system—on-chain liquidity for payments and off-chain ETF exposure—positions XRP as both a settlement token and a regulated investment vehicle.

Comparative ETF Flows and Cross-Market Dynamics

Recent Bitcoin ETF performance underscores the potential scale for XRP. Despite recent outflows of $101 million, cumulative Bitcoin ETF inflows remain near $61.87 billion, supported by $477 million in daily inflows earlier this week. This pattern—rapid institutional rotation—illustrates how ETF flows can swing sharply but remain structurally net positive. Once XRP ETFs enter the market, similar behavior is expected: heavy initial inflows, short-term volatility, and sustained capital accumulation as trading matures.

Institutional Outlook and XRP’s Role in the Next ETF Expansion Cycle

XRP’s ETF introduction represents more than a speculative event; it’s a structural evolution in liquidity distribution. With Ripple’s global payments network integrated across multiple banking corridors and CBDC pilots, ETF accessibility removes one of the final barriers preventing mainstream institutional exposure. The combination of ETF inflows, active fund management from T. Rowe Price, and Ripple’s expanding payment ecosystem sets XRP apart as the first digital asset to bridge real-world utility with regulated financial products.

XRP-USD Market Position Ahead of ETF Approvals

Trading near $2.40, XRP continues to consolidate within a tight range as institutional players prepare for deployment. Market momentum suggests a bullish continuation once approvals resume, supported by rising trading activity, network utility, and long-term inflow projections that could lift its market cap beyond $1 trillion. With multiple issuers—Grayscale, Bitwise, T. Rowe Price, and Franklin Templeton—vying for the first XRP ETF approval, the stage is set for Ripple’s native token to become the third anchor of the crypto ETF era, following Bitcoin and Ethereum

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